Current implied probability
11°C or below 30%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
34 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$44.1
Liquidity
$2.6K
Medium liquiditySpread
9.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Sep 14, 26, 4:30 AM UTCSep 16, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Lowest temperature in Beijing on September 15?
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KalshiRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
Open markets
ChinaPOLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.1pt96%
- Yes+0.1pt4%
- Total Vol
- $41.4M
- 24h Vol
- $81.3K
POLYMARKETWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- December 31+1.1pt97%
- September 30+1.0pt94%
- October 31+0.1pt94%
+3 more outcomes
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No+0.2pt96%
- Yes-0.2pt4%
- Total Vol
- $13.2M
- 24h Vol
- $22.1K
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 15?
- 29°C+11.5pt57.1%
- 28°C+6.5pt20%
- 30°C-11.5pt15.2%
+8 more outcomes
KALSHIWill Xi Jinping visit the United States?
- Before Nov 1, 2026-1.0pt97%
- Before Oct 1, 202694%
- Total Vol
- $139.2K
- 24h Vol
- $17.7K
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba+5.0pt90%
- Moonshot-3.0pt7%
- Z.ai-1.6pt2%
+8 more outcomes
- Beijing Guoan vs Pohang Steelers
- How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?
- Worlds 2026 Winning Region
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
- September Inflation China - Annual
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
- Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Beijing Guoan vs. FC Pohang Steelers - Exact Score
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 16?
- Beijing Guoan vs. FC Pohang Steelers
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Beijing on September 16??
- Polymarket prices 11°C or below at 30% as of September 14, 2026.
- When does Lowest temperature in Beijing on September 16? resolve?
- Lowest temperature in Beijing on September 16? is scheduled to resolve on September 16, 2026.
- How is Lowest temperature in Beijing on September 16? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.