PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Current implied probabilityGallrein 9%+ 99%-0.1%Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
56 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$35
Liquidity
$44.7K
High liquidityBid / Ask
0.1% / 0.2%
Spread
100.0%
Wide spread7d Change
+0.1%
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
May 18, 26, 3:18 PMMay 19, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
99%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Also available on Kalshi
Margin of victory in the KY-04 Republican primary?
Closed
Resolved
Ed Gallrein, 5-10% (95%)
1%
0%
0%
+7 more outcomes
44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$47.7K
24h Vol$73.9
KALSHIRules
The KY-04 Republican Primary is currently scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026
- This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
- For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
- If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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The KY-04 Republican Primary is currently scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026
- This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
- For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
- If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.