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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Who will win the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic primary for US Senate
Manifold Markets

Who will win the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic primary for US Senate

PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection3mo
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsNo KYC
Current community forecast
Manifold Markets
Ed Markey (Incumbent) 64.2%
Leader of 10 outcomes
Forecasters

23

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 8 minutes ago

Jul 4, 25, 12:13 PMSep 16, 26, 10:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
Manifold Markets
Alexander Rikleen
0.3%
Manifold Markets
Jake Auchincloss
0.4%
Manifold Markets
Katherine Clark
0.4%
Manifold Markets
Ayanna Pressley
0.4%

Selected outcome

Ed Markey (Incumbent)64%

Rules

Resolution criteria

Manifold Markets
  • This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic primary for the U.S.
  • Senate seat.
  • The outcome will be determined based on official results published by the Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth.
  • If the primary is canceled or no candidate is declared the winner, the market will resolve as N/A.
  • Incumbent Senator Ed Markey, who has served since 2013, has announced his intention to seek re-election in 2026.

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Rules

Resolution criteria

Manifold Markets
  • This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic primary for the U.S.
  • Senate seat.
  • The outcome will be determined based on official results published by the Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth.
  • If the primary is canceled or no candidate is declared the winner, the market will resolve as N/A.
  • Incumbent Senator Ed Markey, who has served since 2013, has announced his intention to seek re-election in 2026.