How many of these 34 AIPAC endorsees will lose their primaries (through August 4 primaries)?
39.0% (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElectionMiddle East1mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probability2–3 47%+2.0%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
52 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.1K
Liquidity
$11.4K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
4.0% / 6.0%
Spread
50.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Jul 2, 26, 9:40 PMAug 4, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
2–347%
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The American Israel Public Affairs Committee is a major, bipartisan American lobbying group that advocates for a strong U.S.-Israel relationship and has endorsed candidates in the upcoming US Congressional primaries.
- This market will resolve according to the number of candidates, among those listed below, who do not win their primaries, inclusive of any runoff elections.
- For purposes of this market, a candidate will be considered to have won a primary if they finish in a position to advance to the general election, even if they are not the top vote-earner or if no primary election is held because the candidate ran unopposed.
- This market will only consider the 34 candidates listed below.
- No subsequent endorsement, unendorsement, or withdrawal from a race will be relevant.
- The candidates and races are: