PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: 0 (100%)
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Current implied probability0 100%+25.6ptLeader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
28 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$16.3K
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
- / 0.1%
7d Change
-0.5 pts
Market data
Updated 38 days ago
StaleApr 29, 26, 11:58 PMJun 17, 26, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
10%
072%
23%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· 0
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall85% match · auto | Low | 66% | — | $24.1K | $990.2 | 39 days ago | Open → |
| PolymarketThis page | Low | 100% | — | $16.3K | $0 | 38 days ago |
Also available on Kalshi
How many dissenting votes at the next Fed meeting?
5.0 ptsClosed
Resolved
0 (66%)
-5.0pt67.3%
-2.0pt17.4%
+1.0pt9.2%
+2 more outcomes
49 • Low qualityTight spreadLow liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$164K
24h Vol$24.1K
KALSHIRules
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026.
- The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
- This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
- The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
- This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Fed decision in Jul 2026?
$1.2MFed maintains rate: 78%KALSHI
KALSHI
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$84.8K0 (0: 85%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Fed rate hike by which date?
$62.7KOctober Meeting: 62%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Fed funds rate after Jul 2026 meeting?
$47.1KAbove 3.75%: 21%KALSHI
KALSHI
What will Kevin Warsh say during his July press conference?
$47KDissent: 30%KALSHI
KALSHI
Fed rate hike in 2026?
$41.3KYes: 68%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActive in these topics
Related News
Polymarket odds: Fed July hold jumps to 95% after Bitcoin breaks $65KBlockchain.News
Bitcoin climbs above $65K as weak PPI rattles Fed hawksCrypto News
Polymarket odds tilt to Sept Fed hold at 61.5% after Warsh testimonyBlockchain.NewsPolymarket odds for 2026 Fed hike fall to 52.5% as traders trim betsBlockchain.News
Polymarket sees 92.5% odds of July Fed hold as crypto jumps on easing inflationBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds: Fed hold slips to 56.5% after softer CPI chatterBlockchain.NewsRules
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026.
- The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
- This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
- The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
- This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.