PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability0 27%-0.5%Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
80 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$1.5K
Liquidity
$28.2K
High liquidityBid / Ask
26.0% / 28.0%
Spread
7.7%
Moderate spread7d Change
-9.5%
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Jun 16, 26, 7:51 PMJul 29, 26, 3:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
027%
Compare venues· 2
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall92% match · auto | High | 27% | 0pt | $6.5K | $54.5K | 25 minutes ago | Open → |
| PolymarketThis page | High | 26% | -1pt | $1.5K | $28.2K | 5 minutes ago |
Also available on Kalshi
How many dissenting votes at the July Fed meeting?
3d
+2.0%27%
26%
-2.0%24%
+2 more outcomes
89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$86K
24h Vol$6.5K
KALSHIRules
The July Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for July 28-29, 2026.
- The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on July 29, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
- This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the July Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
- The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
- This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$1.5kJul 324d of dataJul 26
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The July Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for July 28-29, 2026.
- The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on July 29, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
- This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the July Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
- The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
- This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.