PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
25+ 96%Leader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$633.1
Low liquidityComments
1
7d Change
+0.5 pts
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Jan 13, 26, 10:58 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which artists will release new albums in 2026?
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KalshiWestside Whimsy: First Week Album Equivalent Units
Kalshi#2 Spotify song in the US this week? (September 18)
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PolymarketWhen will Drake release a new album?
KalshiRules
This market will resolve according to the number of albums that are ranked number 1 on any official weekly Billboard 200 albums chart released for a data collection reference period entirely between January 1 and December 31, 2026.
- Each specific album may only count once, regardless of the number times it reaches the number 1 spot.
- Different editions of the same album will be considered to be different specific albums if they contain different tracklists.
- Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday).
- Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.
- The first Billboard 200 album chart relevant to this market will be the chart titled “Week of January 17, 2026” for a data collection reference period of January 2-8, 2026.
Open markets
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET# of views of next MrBeast Gaming video on day 1?
- 15–17.5M+28.5pt55.5%
- 17.5–20M+26.7pt43.6%
- 20M+-29.8pt1%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $61.6K
- 24h Vol
- $58.7K
KALSHIEmmy winner: Outstanding Variety Series
- The Late Show with Stephen Colbert+1.0pt63.1%
- Tie+3.0pt28.8%
- Last Week Tonight with John Oliver-1.0pt2.7%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIOscar Winner: Best Picture
- The Odyssey+1.0pt55%
- Dune: Part Three12%
- The Black Ball11%
+37 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $5.3M
- 24h Vol
- $51.5K
POLYMARKETEmmys 2026: Outstanding variety series
- “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert”+3.5pt76.3%
- “Jimmy Kimmel Live!”+1.7pt7.2%
- “The Daily Show”+1.9pt6.2%
+2 more outcomes
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 35+35.0pt99%
- Above 30+1.0pt99%
- Above 2599%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $254.5K
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- No Bond chosen+14.6pt36%
- Jack Lowden-16.6pt20%
- Jack Barton-0.2pt12%
+21 more outcomes
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- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?
- Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
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- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for How many albums will reach Billboard #1 in 2026??
- Polymarket prices 25+ at 96% as of September 13, 2026.
- When does How many albums will reach Billboard #1 in 2026? resolve?
- How many albums will reach Billboard #1 in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is How many albums will reach Billboard #1 in 2026? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve according to the number of albums that are ranked number 1 on any official weekly Billboard 200 albums chart released for a data collection reference period entirely between January 1 and December 31, 2026.