How many albums will reach Billboard #1 in 2026?

MusicYearly6mo

PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee

Current implied probability

22–24 44%-8.5%

Leader of 7 outcomes

Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

Liquidity

$1.1K

Low liquidity

Bid / Ask

- / 0.1%

7d Change

-0.8%

Market data

Updated 5 minutes ago

Jan 13, 26, 10:59 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

10–12

Selected outcome

22–2444%

Stake (USDT)

Rules

This market will resolve according to the number of albums that are ranked number 1 on any official weekly Billboard 200 albums chart released for a data collection reference period entirely between January 1 and December 31, 2026.

Each specific album may only count once, regardless of the number times it reaches the number 1 spot.
Different editions of the same album will be considered to be different specific albums if they contain different tracklists.
Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday).
Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.
The first Billboard 200 album chart relevant to this market will be the chart titled “Week of January 17, 2026” for a data collection reference period of January 2-8, 2026.

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Rules

Each specific album may only count once, regardless of the number times it reaches the number 1 spot.
Different editions of the same album will be considered to be different specific albums if they contain different tracklists.
Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday).
Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.
The first Billboard 200 album chart relevant to this market will be the chart titled “Week of January 17, 2026” for a data collection reference period of January 2-8, 2026.

How many albums will reach Billboard #1 in 2026?

MusicYearly6mo

PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee

Current implied probability

22–24 44%-8.5%

Leader of 7 outcomes

Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

Liquidity

$1.1K

Low liquidity

Bid / Ask

- / 0.1%

7d Change

-0.8%

Market data

Updated 5 minutes ago

Jan 13, 26, 10:59 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

10–12

Selected outcome

22–2444%

Stake (USDT)

Rules

Each specific album may only count once, regardless of the number times it reaches the number 1 spot.
Different editions of the same album will be considered to be different specific albums if they contain different tracklists.
Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday).
Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.
The first Billboard 200 album chart relevant to this market will be the chart titled “Week of January 17, 2026” for a data collection reference period of January 2-8, 2026.

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Top Artist on Spotify U.S. in 2026?

$85.9

Taylor Swift: 15%

KALSHI

Will Taylor Swift have a top 3 song on spotify global this year?

$7.6

Yes: 99%

KALSHI

Who will announce a new tour this year?

$4.5

Beyoncé: 94%

KALSHI

Will Zohran Mamdani release another song?

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POLYMARKET

Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,847.93+2.23%

EthereumETH$1,657.68+1.63%

SolanaSOL$65.27+1.56%

HyperliquidHYPE$55.76+0.79%

XRPXRP$1.12+0.49%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.38%

Rules

Each specific album may only count once, regardless of the number times it reaches the number 1 spot.
Different editions of the same album will be considered to be different specific albums if they contain different tracklists.
Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday).
Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.
The first Billboard 200 album chart relevant to this market will be the chart titled “Week of January 17, 2026” for a data collection reference period of January 2-8, 2026.