PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityJuly 24 100%+82.5%Leader of 39 outcomes
Market quality
64 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.9K
Liquidity
$566.7K
High liquidityBid / Ask
12.0% / 13.0%
Spread
8.3%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Jul 23, 26, 2:41 PMAug 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
July 2552%
Volume trend
$1.9kJul 234d of dataJul 26
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
- Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.
- Seize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.
- Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.