PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
21°C 34.9%+14.0ptLeader of 11 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
21°C 34.9%+14.0ptMarket quality
76 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$8.8K
Liquidity
$43.3K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Oct 6, 26, 12:56 PM UTCOct 8, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Oct '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
