This market resolved: 7°C
Resolved: Nov 7, 2026, 4:34 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
7°C
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
32%
SurpriseData quality warningStale data
Data as of Nov 7, 2026, 8:47 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
7°C100%
10°C1%
11°C0%
12°C1%
13°C or higher0%
3°C or below0%
4°C3%
5°C19%
6°C42%
8°C1%
9°C3%
7°CWon
10°CLost
11°CLost
12°CLost
13°C or higherLost
3°C or belowLost
4°CLost
5°CLost
6°CLost
8°CLost
9°CLost
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature reported at Beijing Capital International Airport (ZBAA) on 7 Nov '26.
- The qualifying value is the highest temperature reported in the hourly temperature remark of any routine (METAR) observation for Beijing Capital International Airport (ZBAA) on that date, in tenths of a degree Celsius as reported.
- A report whose line begins with SPECI is a special observation and does not count.
- Every other report is routine, including one issued off the nominal hour and one that carries no METAR or SPECI label.
- For How to Read the METAR Report, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Weather/How+to+Read+the+METAR+Report.pdf
- The hourly temperature remark is the group beginning with the letter T followed by exactly eight digits.