PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityLaShonda "L.J." Holloway 83%+11.5ptLeader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
59 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$3.6K
Liquidity
$4.5K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
81.0% / 84.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Jul 26, 26, 9:00 PMAug 18, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
LaShonda "L.J." Holloway83%
Volume trend
$3.6kJul 263d of dataJul 28
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This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
- If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
- Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.