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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Fed
  3. Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)
Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

4.0% (24h)FedOne-Off1mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Pause–Pause–Pause
Pause–Pause–Pause 90%-4.0%
Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality

56 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$64.9

Liquidity

$46K

High liquidity
Bid / Ask

86.0% / 93.0%

Spread

8.1%

Wide spread
7d Change

-3.0%

Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

Mar 24, 26, 11:49 PMJul 29, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
Cut–Pause–Pause
Cut–Pause–Pause
0%

Selected outcome

Pause–Pause–Pause90%

Rules

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate.

Polymarket
  • The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
  • This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
  • A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
  • A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
  • A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.

Macro-Sensitive Assets

BitcoinBTC$62,088.95+1.39%EthereumETH$1,636.01+0.87%SolanaSOL$64.49+0.38%

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Active in these topics

DogecoinDOGE$0.0839+0.22%BNBBNB$591.58+0.85%XRPXRP$1.11-0.83%CardanoADA$0.1625+0.38%HyperliquidHYPE$54.11-3.09%LitecoinLTC$42.19-0.56%

Related News

Bitcoin traders brace for Federal Reserve decision as hold odds hit 98%Crypto NewsWall Street abandons rate-cut hopes ahead of Kevin Warsh’s first FOMCCrypto NewsStrategy's bitcoin purchase fails to stir BTC priceCoindeskBitcoin braces for inflation shock as CPI puts bulls on edgeCrypto NewsThe Fed, Iran, and Saylor: anatomy of the June crypto crashCrypto NewsMay 2026 US Jobs Report: Upward Revisions Reshape Crypto Fed Rate Cut OutlookBlockchain Reporter

Rules

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate.

Polymarket
  • The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
  • This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
  • A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
  • A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
  • A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.