PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityPause–Pause–Pause 80%+7.2%Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
100 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$10.5K
Liquidity
$63.1K
High liquidityBid / Ask
79.6% / 80.5%
Spread
1.1%
Tight spread7d Change
-15.3%
Market data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Mar 24, 26, 11:47 PMJul 29, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
0%
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Pause–Pause–Pause80%
Large trades
$1.7k23.7%POLYMARKETWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)? — NoDetailed-Poison3d ago
POLYMARKETWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)? — NoDetailed-Poison3d ago$1.0k93.0%POLYMARKETWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)? — Yesyoyobb201811d ago
POLYMARKETWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)? — Yesyoyobb201811d ago$3.3k90.0%POLYMARKETWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)? — YesAhpo12d ago
POLYMARKETWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)? — YesAhpo12d ago$2.5k90.0%POLYMARKETWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)? — YesLALiquidated12d ago
POLYMARKETWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)? — YesLALiquidated12d agoVolume trend
$10.5kJul 225d of dataJul 26
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The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate.
- The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
- This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
- A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
- A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
- A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.