PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
claude-opus-5-high 92.9%-0.5ptLeader of 5 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
75 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$9.4K
Liquidity
$8K
Medium liquiditySpread
0.3 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
7d Change
-4.2 pts
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Aug 8, 26, 4:17 PMAug 24, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
0%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
- Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
- No new model will be added to this market after market creation.
- Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
- Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time.
- If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard.
Open markets
AI
GEMINISeattle vs Tennessee
- Seattle50.5%
- Tennessee49.5%
- Total Vol
- $51.8K
- 24h Vol
- $50.2K
KALSHITop AI model in August
- claude-opus-5-high+9.0pt61.7%
- claude-opus-5-max-3.0pt34.6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking+1.0pt1.9%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $133.3K
- 24h Vol
- $41.3K
POLYMARKETIn which month will Anthropic IPO?
- October 2026-1.0pt68%
- September 2026-2.0pt14%
- November 2026-4.0pt5%
+14 more outcomes
GEMINIArthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe
- Arthur Fils99%
- Frances Tiafoe1%
- Total Vol
- $38.4K
- 24h Vol
- $38.4K
POLYMARKETGemini 4.0 released by which date?
- November 30-3.5pt81%
- October 31-14.5pt57%
- September 30-4.0pt19%
+4 more outcomes
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.7pt63.8%
- Grok+5.0pt14.3%
- ChatGPT-1.5pt10.5%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $9.3M
- Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
- Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Anthropic IPO by __?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- ZEC price on August 28
- Best AI this week
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on?
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
- BTC price on August 24
- Anthropic market share this week
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Best AI model on August 24??
- Polymarket prices claude-opus-5-high at 93% as of August 24, 2026.
- When does Best AI model on August 24? resolve?
- Best AI model on August 24? is scheduled to resolve on August 24, 2026.
- How is Best AI model on August 24? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.