KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 3.0% 90%+5.0ptLeader of 5 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
48 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$10K
Liquidity
$21K
Medium liquidityMarket data
Updated 19 minutes ago
Aug 17, 26, 11:00 PMAug 24, 26, 3:59 AM
Trends
Rules
If Anthropic scores above 3.0% on OpenRouter Market Share by model author week of Aug 17, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:OpenRouter - AI Market Share
- This event will resolve based on 10:00AM ET Monday updated values for the week of Aug 17, 2026 .
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
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- If Anthropic scores above 3.5% on OpenRouter Market Share by model author week of Aug 17, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Anthropic scores above 4.0% on OpenRouter Market Share by model author week of Aug 17, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
AI
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
- ↑$1.25T97%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $4M
- 24h Vol
- $98.5K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by __?
- December 31,+1.5pt90%
- October 31,83%
- October 15,-6.5pt49%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of August?
- Alibaba-1.4pt93%
- Company A50%
- Other50%
+22 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.9pt63.3%
- Grok+3.8pt13.8%
- ChatGPT+0.4pt11.9%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $9.2M
KALSHIOpenAI market share this week
- Above 17%+2.0pt99%
- Above 18%+15.0pt99%
- Above 16%99%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $83.9K
GEMINIBMW Championship Winner
- Wyndham Clark76%
- Rory McIlroy9.5%
- Patrick Cantlay6.5%
+38 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $82K
- 24h Vol
- $23.9K
- Columbus vs Nashville
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
- Best AI this week
- Sara Bejlek vs Coco Gauff
- XRP price on August 31
- Xiaomi market share this week
- Tencent market share this week
- DeepSeek market share this week
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Anthropic market share this week?
- Kalshi prices Above 3.0% at 90% as of August 23, 2026.
- When does Anthropic market share this week resolve?
- Anthropic market share this week is scheduled to resolve on August 24, 2026.
- How is Anthropic market share this week settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Anthropic scores above 3.0% on OpenRouter Market Share by model author week of Aug 17, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.