PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: 25 (100%)
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Current implied probability25 100%+1.5ptLeader of 4 outcomes
Market quality
31 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$127.6K
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
- / 0.1%
7d Change
-0.6 pts
Market data
Updated 41 days ago
StaleMar 19, 26, 11:17 PMJun 16, 26, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
50+1%
2599%
No change0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· 25
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | Low | 100% | — | $127.6K | $0 | 41 days ago | |
 Kalshi80% match · auto | Low | 98% | — | $20.4K | $916.6 | 42 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Kalshi
Bank of Japan rate decision in June
3.0 ptsClosed
Resolved
Hike 25bps (98%)
+8.0pt88.3%
+3.0pt4.5%
-13.0pt4.5%
+2 more outcomes
24 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidity
Total Vol$124.7K
24h Vol$20.4K
KALSHIRules
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for June is scheduled to be released on June 16, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
- This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's June 2026 meeting.
- If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket.
- (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
- The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for June is scheduled to be released on June 16, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
- This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's June 2026 meeting.
- If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket.
- (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
- The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued.