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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Fed
  3. Bank of Canada Decision in July?
Bank of Canada Decision in July?

Bank of Canada Decision in July?

2.0% (24h)FedMonthlyCentral Banks1mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
No Change
No Change 94%+2.0%
Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality

91 / 100

High quality
24h Volume

$844.3

Liquidity

$25.8K

High liquidity
Bid / Ask

93.0% / 95.0%

Spread

2.1%

Tight spread
7d Change

+1.0%

Market data

Updated 9 minutes ago

Apr 30, 26, 12:08 AMJul 15, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
50+ bps increase
50+ bps increase
0%

Selected outcome

No Change94%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight rate resulting from the July 2026 interest rate announcement of the Bank of Canada, relative to the level it was prior to this announcement.

Polymarket
  • The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Canada, including the statement or release from its July 2026 interest rate announcement, scheduled for July 15, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates).
  • This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Canada resulting from its July 2026 interest rate decision with relevant data is issued.
  • If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
  • If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
  • Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).

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Bank of Japan Decision in July?

Bank of Japan Decision in July?

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Manifold Markets

Will the Federal Open Market Committee announce a decrease in the federal funds rate at the June 17, 2026, meeting?

$114.3
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Will rates hit zero in 2026?

Will rates hit zero in 2026?

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Yes: 2%KalshiKALSHI
Lisa Cook departure announced?

Lisa Cook departure announced?

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Auto-loan delinquencies in Q2 2026

Auto-loan delinquencies in Q2 2026

$0.1
Above 6.0%: 29%KalshiKALSHI

Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,076.23+1.37%EthereumETH$1,635.30+0.83%SolanaSOL$64.48+0.36%BNBBNB$591.35+0.81%XRPXRP$1.11-0.81%DogecoinDOGE$0.0838+0.15%

Related News

Bitcoin traders brace for Federal Reserve decision as hold odds hit 98%Crypto NewsWall Street abandons rate-cut hopes ahead of Kevin Warsh’s first FOMCCrypto NewsCan the Bank of Japan’s 1% rate hike spark another crypto selloff?Crypto NewsU.S. inflation, European Central Bank rate decision: Crypto Week AheadCoindeskThe Fed, Iran, and Saylor: anatomy of the June crypto crashCrypto NewsMay 2026 US Jobs Report: Upward Revisions Reshape Crypto Fed Rate Cut OutlookBlockchain Reporter

Rules

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight rate resulting from the July 2026 interest rate announcement of the Bank of Canada, relative to the level it was prior to this announcement.

Polymarket
  • The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Canada, including the statement or release from its July 2026 interest rate announcement, scheduled for July 15, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates).
  • This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Canada resulting from its July 2026 interest rate decision with relevant data is issued.
  • If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
  • If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
  • Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).