KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Maintains rate (99%)
Resolved: Jul 15, 2026, 2:36 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Maintains rate
- Recorded
- Jul 17, 2026, 5:40 AM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityMaintains rate 95.2%Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
27 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$523
Liquidity
$4.8K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
- / 100.0%
Market data
Updated 12 days ago
StaleOct 13, 25, 2:00 PMJul 15, 26, 1:29 PM
Probability Timeline
Cut 25bps2%
Maintains rate99%
Cut >25bps1%
Hike 25bps1%
Hike >25bps1%
1%
1.9%
95.2%
1%
1%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Maintains rate
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall85% match · auto | Low | 100% | — | $4.4K | $0 | 11 days ago | Open → |
| KalshiThis page | Low | 99% | — | $523 | $4.8K | 12 days ago |
Also available on Polymarket
Bank of Canada Decision in July?
Closed
Resolved
No Change (100%)
100%
0%
0%
+2 more outcomes
49 • Low qualityTight spreadLow liquidity
Total Vol$33.4K
24h Vol$4.4K
POLYMARKETRules
If the Bank of Canada does a Cut of >25bps at its Jul 15, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Bank of Canada does a Cut of 25bps at its Jul 15, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Bank of Canada does a Hike of 0bps at its Jul 15, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Bank of Canada does a Hike of 25bps at its Jul 15, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Bank of Canada does a Hike of >25bps at its Jul 15, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$523Jul 47d of dataJul 15
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If the Bank of Canada does a Cut of >25bps at its Jul 15, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Bank of Canada does a Cut of 25bps at its Jul 15, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Bank of Canada does a Hike of 0bps at its Jul 15, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Bank of Canada does a Hike of 25bps at its Jul 15, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Bank of Canada does a Hike of >25bps at its Jul 15, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.