PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityGreg Stanton 93%+7.0%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
89 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$8.4K
Liquidity
$48.9K
High liquidityBid / Ask
91.0% / 94.0%
Spread
3.3%
Moderate spread7d Change
+6.0%
Market data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Jul 1, 26, 8:52 PMJul 21, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Greg Stanton93%
Volume trend
$8.4kJul 29d of dataJul 10
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This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The Democratic primary will take place on July 21, 2026.
- If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
- Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.