PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Yes 96%
Market quality
60 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$400.6
Liquidity
$560.1
Low liquidityBid / Ask
96.0% / 97.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
7d Change
+7.0 pts
Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Aug 31, 26, 5:44 PM UTCSep 10, 26, 9:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Limitless📈 Will Adobe report Q3 FY2026 revenue of at least $6.80 billion?
Manifold MarketsWhat will Adobe say during their next earnings call?
KalshiRules
As of market creation, Adobe is estimated to release earnings on September 10, 2026.
- The Street consensus estimate for Adobe’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $6.08 as of market creation.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Adobe reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $6.08 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
- If Adobe releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha.
- If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for CoinRithm reference is 97%. Quotes span about 1 percentage point between the widest venues.
CoinRithm reference 97% · 2 venues · 1 pt venue spread