This market resolved: Douglas Lumsden (100%)
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Current implied probability
Douglas Lumsden 100%+85.5ptLeader of 22 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$7.3K
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spread7d Change
+73.0 pts
Market data
Updated 37 days ago
StaleJun 9, 26, 11:02 PMJun 19, 26, 3:59 AM
Probability Timeline
Richard Gordon Thomson43%
Douglas Lumsden73%
Nurul Hoque Ali1%
Mel Sullivan0%
Person B0%
Person F0%
Person J0%
Person A0%
Person G0%
Person N0%
Person C0%
Person I0%
Person M0%
Person H0%
Person L0%
Person D0%
Person E0%
Person K0%
Other0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Douglas Lumsden
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume
Also available on Smarkets
Aberdeen South By-Election - Winner
Closed
20.4%
0.2%
7 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$0
24h Vol$0
SMARKETS
Also available on Kalshi
Aberdeen South by-election winner
81.0 ptsClosed
Resolved
Conservative (99%)
+81.0pt93.4%
-83.0pt1.9%
0.9%
+4 more outcomes
45 • Low qualityTight spreadLow liquidity
Total Vol$32.9K
24h Vol$3.1K
KALSHIRules
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Aberdeen South is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Aberdeen South parliamentary by-election.
- If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
- In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Aberdeen City Council (https://www.aberdeencity.gov.uk/).
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Aberdeen South is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Aberdeen South parliamentary by-election.
- If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
- In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Aberdeen City Council (https://www.aberdeencity.gov.uk/).