Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No (90.7%)
Resolved: Oct 17, 2026, 5:11 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Probability Timeline
Yes9.3%
No90.7%
Won
Lost
Rules
xAI has been hiring for custom silicon developers with experience in "designing and refining new hardware architectures" and "simulating training workloads on novel AI hardware architectures."
- Google, Meta, and Amazon have all developed or announced custom AI chips.
- OpenAI recently placed a $10B order with Broadcom for custom chips shipping in 2026
- Resolves YES if by 11:59 PM PT on March 31, 2026:
- xAI announces they are developing, designing, or have contracted for custom AI accelerators (ASICs, XPUs, or similar custom silicon) for training or inference, through ANY of the following:
- Official announcement from xAI via:
