Current community forecast
Argentina 24.7%-0.3%Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
8
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Jul 12, 26, 3:58 AMJul 19, 26, 3:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Argentina25%
Compare venues· France
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall96% match · auto | High | 39% | — | $34.3M | $27.9M | 3 minutes ago | Open → |
 Kalshi96% match · linked | High | 39% | — | $23.8M | $839.3M | 13 minutes ago | Open → |
 Rothera92% match · linked | High | 40% | — | $4.1M | $51.1M | 12 minutes ago | Open → |
 Limitless96% match · linked | Low | 40% | — | $0 | $0 | 12 minutes ago | Open → |
 Myriad84% match · linked | Low | 13% | — | $0 | $0 | 12 minutes ago | Open → |
| Manifold Markets74% match · linked | — | 41% | — | — | — | 12 minutes ago | Open → |
| Manifold Markets80% match · linked | — | 40% | — | — | — | 12 minutes ago | Open → |
| Manifold Markets90% match · linked | — | 40% | — | — | — | 12 minutes ago | Open → |
| Manifold Markets90% match · linked | — | 41% | — | — | — | 12 minutes ago | Open → |
| Manifold Markets82% match · linked | — | 42% | — | — | — | 12 minutes ago | Open → |
| Manifold MarketsThis page | — | 38% | — | — | — | 12 minutes ago | |
| Manifold Markets90% match · linked | — | 41% | — | — | — | 12 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Polymarket
World Cup Winner
1.6%7d
+0.6%39%
+7.1%21%
-0.7%20%
+57 more outcomes
77 • High qualitySpread unknownHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$4.2B
24h Vol$34.3M
POLYMARKETAlso available on Kalshi
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner
6.1%Awaiting resolution
-6.1%0%
-1.5%0%
+0.6%18%
+45 more outcomes
77 • High qualitySpread unknownHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$1.2B
24h Vol$23.8M
KALSHIAlso available on Limitless
World Cup Winner
3mo
19.1%
39.6%
22%
+1 more outcomes
28 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$60.3K
24h Vol$0
LIMITLESSAlso available on Rothera
World Cup 2026: Winner
8d
20%
0%
15%
+4 more outcomes
77 • High qualitySpread unknownHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$4.1M
24h Vol$4.1M
ROTHERAAlso available on Manifold Markets
World cup 2026 winner
7d
-0.2%0.4%
-3.3%17%
+1.7%41.2%
+6 more outcomes
Community forecast22 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Manifold Markets
Which country will win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7d
+1.0%18.1%
0%
+2.5%39.8%
+38 more outcomes
Community forecast129 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Manifold Markets
Which team will win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7d
0%
0%
0%
+45 more outcomes
Community forecast138 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Myriad
2026 World Cup Winner
1358.4%6d
+13.6%74.2%
-0.9%3.2%
-0.6%12.9%
+17 more outcomes
28 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$0
24h Vol$0
MYRIADAlso available on Manifold Markets
Who will win the 2026 FIFA Men’s World Cup?
6d
+9.3%22.3%
-3.7%15.6%
+2.1%42.3%
+14 more outcomes
Community forecast60 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Manifold Markets
Which Team will win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7d
0.1%
-0.1%0%
+0.6%18.1%
+40 more outcomes
Community forecast177 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Manifold Markets
2026 FIFA World Cup ⚽ | 🏆 Winner
7d
0%
+0.4%40.9%
+7.0%20.6%
+47 more outcomes
Community forecast837 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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POLYMARKETActive in these topics
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Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.