PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Spain
Resolved: Jul 20, 2026, 1:14 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 20, 2026, 7:10 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Probability Timeline
Spain100%
England22%
France36%
Brazil0%
Argentina0%
Germany4%
Portugal5%
Netherlands4%
Italy0%
USA3%
Uruguay1%
Mexico1%
Belgium1%
Colombia1%
Peru0%
Japan2%
Norway5%
Canada1%
Other0%
Tunisia0%
Ecuador1%
Paraguay0%
New Zealand0%
Australia0%
Iran0%
Uzbekistan0%
South Korea0%
Jordan0%
Morocco1%
South Africa0%
Senegal1%
Ivory Coast0%
Ghana0%
Egypt0%
Algeria0%
Cape Verde0%
Qatar0%
Saudi Arabia0%
Scotland0%
Switzerland1%
Austria1%
Croatia1%
Haiti0%
Curaçao0%
Panama0%
Sweden0%
Congo DR0%
Iraq0%
Bosnia-Herzegovina0%
Czechia0%
Turkiye1%
Team AG0%
Team AH0%
Team AI0%
Team AJ0%
Team AK0%
Team AL0%
Team AM0%
Team AN0%
Team AO0%
SpainWon
EnglandLost
FranceLost
BrazilLost
ArgentinaLost
GermanyLost
PortugalLost
NetherlandsLost
ItalyLost
USALost
UruguayLost
MexicoLost
BelgiumLost
ColombiaLost
PeruLost
JapanLost
NorwayLost
CanadaLost
OtherLost
TunisiaLost
Rules
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
- If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
- If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
- The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
