PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Spain
Resolved: Jul 20, 2026, 1:14 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
Spain 100%+40.9ptLeader of 60 outcomes
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$25.7M
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
0.1 pt
Tight spread7d Change
+79.3 pts
Market data
Updated 45 days ago
StaleJul 2, 25, 10:26 PMJul 20, 26, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Spain100%
England22%
France36%
Brazil0%
Argentina0%
Germany4%
Portugal5%
Netherlands4%
Italy0%
USA3%
Uruguay1%
Mexico1%
Belgium1%
Colombia1%
Peru0%
Japan2%
Norway5%
Canada1%
Other0%
Tunisia0%
Ecuador1%
Paraguay0%
New Zealand0%
Australia0%
Iran0%
Uzbekistan0%
South Korea0%
Jordan0%
Morocco1%
South Africa0%
Senegal1%
Ivory Coast0%
Ghana0%
Egypt0%
Algeria0%
Cape Verde0%
Qatar0%
Saudi Arabia0%
Scotland0%
Switzerland1%
Austria1%
Croatia1%
Haiti0%
Curaçao0%
Panama0%
Sweden0%
Congo DR0%
Iraq0%
Bosnia-Herzegovina0%
Czechia0%
Turkiye1%
Team AG0%
Team AH0%
Team AI0%
Team AJ0%
Team AK0%
Team AL0%
Team AM0%
Team AN0%
Team AO0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
- If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
- If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
- The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Open markets
Sports
KALSHIOmega European Masters Winner
- Angel Ayora Fanegas+7.3pt9.4%
- Harry Hall+4.1pt6.6%
- Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra+4.2pt6.6%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6.5M
- 24h Vol
- $4.3M
KALSHIBucsa vs Sakatsume
- Cristina Bucsa+31.0pt99%
- Himeno Sakatsume-32.0pt1%
- Total Vol
- $5.5M
- 24h Vol
- $3.8M
KALSHIBonzi vs Buse
- Benjamin Bonzi62%
- Ignacio Buse38%
- Total Vol
- $3.4M
- 24h Vol
- $3.1M
KALSHIMilwaukee vs Chicago C
- Milwaukee+3.0pt53.5%
- Chicago C-3.0pt46.5%
- Total Vol
- $2.8M
- 24h Vol
- $2.8M
POLYMARKET2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
- Carlos Alcaraz+5.5pt41.4%
- Alexander Zverev+0.1pt21.1%
- Taylor Fritz+1.8pt10.6%
+45 more outcomes
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz+6.0pt43%
- Alexander Zverev+1.0pt22%
- Taylor Fritz+3.0pt11%
+32 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $18.2M
- Andreeva vs Lys
- Colorado vs Georgia Tech: Spread
- UMass vs Rutgers
- St. Louis vs Los Angeles D
- 2027 Pro Football Champion
- US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Karen Khachanov
- US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dalibor Svrcina
- US Open ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo
- Colorado vs Georgia Tech
- US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse
- US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Lorenzo Musetti
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for World Cup Winner?
- Polymarket prices Spain at 100% as of July 20, 2026.
- When does World Cup Winner resolve?
- World Cup Winner is scheduled to resolve on July 20, 2026.
- How is World Cup Winner settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.