Manifold MarketsNo KYCCurrent community forecastCanada 1%Leader of 48 outcomes
Forecasters
121
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 days ago
StaleMay 17, 26, 3:49 AMJul 19, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Canada1%
Also available on Polymarket
World Cup Winner
0.2%12d
33%
+5.9%19%
-0.6%17%
+57 more outcomes
77 • High qualitySpread unknownHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$4.1B
24h Vol$93.6M
POLYMARKET
Also available on Kalshi
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner
0.3%Awaiting resolution
-0.3%0%
-1.2%17%
+0.7%6%
+45 more outcomes
77 • High qualitySpread unknownHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$1.1B
24h Vol$51.9M
KALSHIAlso available on Manifold Markets
2026 FIFA World Cup ⚽ | 🏆 Winner
12d
+1.3%7.1%
+6.0%32.9%
-0.2%8.9%
+47 more outcomes
Community forecast467 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$452.3K
24h Vol$69.7K
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Manifold Markets
Which country will win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12d
-2.3%18.2%
-1.4%6.1%
+7.0%32.7%
+38 more outcomes
Community forecast98 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$67.6K
24h Vol$1.2K
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Also available on Limitless
World Cup Winner
3mo
25.1%
34.6%
56.9%
+6 more outcomes
28 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$178.9K
24h Vol$0
LIMITLESSAlso available on Manifold Markets
World Cup Winner
6d
3%
7%
22%
+5 more outcomes
Community forecast11 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$1.7K
24h Vol$14.4
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Manifold Markets
Who will win the 2026 FIFA Men’s World Cup?
11d
-0.1%8.4%
-0.1%9.8%
+6.5%32.5%
+14 more outcomes
Community forecast58 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$13.6K
24h Vol$291.5
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Manifold Markets
Which Team will win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Awaiting resolution
-0.2%6.3%
-0.1%5.9%
-1.5%18.5%
+40 more outcomes
Community forecast157 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$93.2K
24h Vol$1.1K
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
This is a set market to allow for early resolutions as teams get eliminated.
- No point tying up your mana for weeks in outcomes we already know.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Related Markets
Switzerland vs Colombia
$8.9MColombia advances: 62%KALSHI
KALSHI
Switzerland vs. Colombia - Exact Score
$5.7M1 - 1: 16%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Switzerland vs Colombia: Regulation Time Moneyline
$2.1MReg Time: Colombia: 43%KALSHI
KALSHI
World Cup Final Matchup
$2MFrance vs Argentina: 25%KALSHI
KALSHINorway vs. England - More Markets
$924.5KO/U 0.5: 94%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETFrance vs. Morocco - More Markets
$591.3KO/U 0.5: 93%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActive in these topics
Related News
England beats Mexico, Polymarket keeps Golden Ball leader at 50%Blockchain.News
Germany out on pens, Polymarket keeps 5+ missed kicks favored at 45.45%Blockchain.News
Azteca showdown vs Ecuador nudges Mexico to 43.5% on PolymarketBlockchain.News
Scotland routed by Brazil as Polymarket pegs Iraq group exit at 98%Blockchain.News
World Cup boom sends Polymarket volume up 300% while Kalshi sets open interest recordsThe Block
England-Ghana draw lifts Hormuz normalization odds to 42.5% on PolymarketBlockchain.NewsRules
This is a set market to allow for early resolutions as teams get eliminated.
- No point tying up your mana for weeks in outcomes we already know.