What are the current odds for Which team will win the 2026 FIFA World Cup??

Manifold Markets prices Spain at 100% as of July 20, 2026.

When does Which team will win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? resolve?

Which team will win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? is scheduled to resolve on July 19, 2026.

How is Which team will win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This is a set market to allow for early resolutions as teams get eliminated.

Which team will win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

One-OffSports Soccer FIFA World Cup

Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: Spain

Resolved: Jul 19, 2026, 10:10 PM

Unverified resolution data

This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.

Current community forecast

Spain 100%+40.9pt

Leader of 48 outcomes

Forecasters

141

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 32 days ago

Stale

May 17, 26, 3:49 AMJul 19, 26, 10:10 PM

Probability Timeline

Canada1%

Mexico3%

United States of America13%

Japan5%

New Zealand4.2%

Iran19%

Argentina0%

Uzbekistan10.1%

South Korea1%

Jordan1.7%

Australia1%

Brazil5.3%

Ecuador8%

Uruguay1%

Colombia1%

Paraguay1.2%

Morocco0%

Tunisia1.7%

Egypt1%

Algeria19%

Ghana1.7%

Cape Verde1%

South Africa1%

Qatar19%

England22.2%

Saudi Arabia10.1%

Ivory Coast1.8%

Senegal1%

France41%

Croatia8%

Portugal8%

Norway3.1%

Germany6.4%

Netherlands5%

Belgium1.8%

Austria1%

Switzerland1%

Spain100%

Scotland19%

Panama1%

Haiti1%

Curacao1%

DR Congo1%

Iraq1%

Turkey23.7%

Bosnia and Herzegovina2.3%

Sweden2%

Czech Republic0%

Spain

+40.9 pts

100%

Canada

0.0 pts

Mexico

0.0 pts

United States of America

0.0 pts

Japan

0.0 pts

New Zealand

0.0 pts

Iran

0.0 pts

Argentina

-40.1 pts

Uzbekistan

0.0 pts

South Korea

0.0 pts

Jordan

0.0 pts

Australia

0.0 pts

Brazil

0.0 pts

Ecuador

0.0 pts

Uruguay

0.0 pts

Colombia

0.0 pts

Paraguay

0.0 pts

Morocco

0.0 pts

Tunisia

0.0 pts

Egypt

0.0 pts

Rules

This is a set market to allow for early resolutions as teams get eliminated.

No point tying up your mana for weeks in outcomes we already know.

Which team will win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

One-OffSports Soccer FIFA World Cup

Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: Spain

Resolved: Jul 19, 2026, 10:10 PM

Unverified resolution data

This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.

Current community forecast

Spain 100%+40.9pt

Leader of 48 outcomes

Forecasters

141

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 32 days ago

Stale

May 17, 26, 3:49 AMJul 19, 26, 10:10 PM

Probability Timeline

Canada1%

Mexico3%

United States of America13%

Japan5%

New Zealand4.2%

Iran19%

Argentina0%

Uzbekistan10.1%

South Korea1%

Jordan1.7%

Australia1%

Brazil5.3%

Ecuador8%

Uruguay1%

Colombia1%

Paraguay1.2%

Morocco0%

Tunisia1.7%

Egypt1%

Algeria19%

Ghana1.7%

Cape Verde1%

South Africa1%

Qatar19%

England22.2%

Saudi Arabia10.1%

Ivory Coast1.8%

Senegal1%

France41%

Croatia8%

Portugal8%

Norway3.1%

Germany6.4%

Netherlands5%

Belgium1.8%

Austria1%

Switzerland1%

Spain100%

Scotland19%

Panama1%

Haiti1%

Curacao1%

DR Congo1%

Iraq1%

Turkey23.7%

Bosnia and Herzegovina2.3%

Sweden2%

Czech Republic0%

Spain

+40.9 pts

100%

Canada

0.0 pts

Mexico

0.0 pts

United States of America

0.0 pts

Japan

0.0 pts

New Zealand

0.0 pts

Iran

0.0 pts

Argentina

-40.1 pts

Uzbekistan

0.0 pts

South Korea

0.0 pts

Jordan

0.0 pts

Australia

0.0 pts

Brazil

0.0 pts

Ecuador

0.0 pts

Uruguay

0.0 pts

Colombia

0.0 pts

Paraguay

0.0 pts

Morocco

0.0 pts

Tunisia

0.0 pts

Egypt

0.0 pts

Rules

This is a set market to allow for early resolutions as teams get eliminated.

No point tying up your mana for weeks in outcomes we already know.

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Which team will win the 2026 FIFA World Cup??: Manifold Markets prices Spain at 100% as of July 20, 2026.
When does Which team will win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? resolve?: Which team will win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? is scheduled to resolve on July 19, 2026.
How is Which team will win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? settled?: Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This is a set market to allow for early resolutions as teams get eliminated.

Which team will win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Which team will win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Frequently asked questions

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