Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Spain (57.9%)
Resolved: Jul 19, 2026, 10:30 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current community forecast
Spain 57.9%+42.4ptLeader of 17 outcomes
Forecasters
62
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 36 days ago
StaleFeb 6, 25, 9:34 AMJul 19, 26, 1:59 PM
Probability Timeline
England19.5%
Spain57.9%
France40.1%
Italy0.2%
Germany3%
Brazil6.7%
Argentina40.1%
Portugal6.6%
USA3.2%
Australia0.3%
Netherlands1%
Belgium1%
Greece0.6%
Macedonia0.3%
Canada1%
Croatia0.9%
Other6.5%
57.9%
40.1%
0.4%
0.4%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Rules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
