KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Spain (99%)
Resolved: Jul 19, 2026, 10:09 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 19, 2026, 10:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current implied probability
Spain 99%+39.5ptLeader of 48 outcomes
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$271.7M
Liquidity
$1B
High liquiditySpread
0.5 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 62 days ago
StaleMay 15, 25, 2:00 PM UTCJul 18, 28, 2:00 PM UTC
Probability Timeline
Netherlands5%
Portugal7%
Mexico3%
USA4%
Spain99%
Argentina2%
Norway6%
Belgium2%
99%
2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
巴西会不会获得美加墨世界杯冠军
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KalshiMessi to play for Argentina again after the 2026 WC by Dec 31, 2026
LimitlessRules
If France wins the 2026 Men's World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA.
- Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.
- If Spain wins the 2026 Men's World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Brazil wins the 2026 Men's World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If England wins the 2026 Men's World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
