MyriadCurrent implied probability
Spain 8.5%-0.1%Leader of 20 outcomes
Market quality
28 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
-
Market data
Updated 15 minutes ago
Feb 24, 26, 3:31 PMJul 19, 26, 7:00 PM
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Spain9%
Compare venues· France
Ordered by 24h volume| Venue | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMost active | 33% | -1pt | $56.8M | $68.8M | 5 minutes ago | Open → |
 Kalshi | 34% | 0pt | $38.5M | $802.3M | 16 minutes ago | Open → |
 Rothera | 36% | +2pt | $12.4M | $52.1M | 15 minutes ago | Open → |
 Manifold Markets | 37% | +3pt | — | — | 15 minutes ago | Open → |
| Manifold Markets | 35% | +1pt | — | — | 15 minutes ago | Open → |
| Manifold Markets | 35% | +1pt | — | — | 15 minutes ago | Open → |
 Limitless | 34% | 0pt | $5.5K | $0 | 15 minutes ago | Open → |
| Manifold Markets | 36% | +2pt | — | — | 15 minutes ago | Open → |
| Manifold Markets | 35% | +1pt | — | — | 15 minutes ago | Open → |
| MyriadThis page | 51% | +17pt | $0 | $0 | 15 minutes ago | |
| Manifold Markets | 33% | -1pt | — | — | 15 minutes ago | Open → |
| Manifold Markets | 35% | +1pt | — | — | 12 hours ago | Open → |
Also available on Manifold Markets
World cup 2026 winner
11d
-3.5%0.9%
+2.2%17.7%
+0.7%35.5%
+6 more outcomes
Community forecast19 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$2.3K
24h Vol$338.2
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Kalshi
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner
1.3%2y
+1.3%19%
+1.2%2%
-0.4%0%
+45 more outcomes
100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$1.1B
24h Vol$38.5M
KALSHIAlso available on Rothera
World Cup 2026: Winner
12d
19%
1%
4%
+10 more outcomes
77 • High qualitySpread unknownHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$12.4M
24h Vol$12.4M
ROTHERAAlso available on Manifold Markets
Which country will win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11d
+1.1%19.2%
0%
+0.2%35%
+38 more outcomes
Community forecast110 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$81.1K
24h Vol$7.1K
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Manifold Markets
Which team will win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11d
0%
0%
0%
+45 more outcomes
Community forecast135 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$85.9K
24h Vol$6.5K
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Polymarket
World Cup Winner
1.0%11d
-0.5%33%
+0.2%19%
+5.8%19%
+57 more outcomes
89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$4.1B
24h Vol$56.8M
POLYMARKETAlso available on Limitless
World Cup Winner
3mo
18%
34%
16.4%
+6 more outcomes
49 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$185.6K
24h Vol$5.5K
LIMITLESSAlso available on Manifold Markets
World Cup Winner
5d
3%
7%
19%
+5 more outcomes
Community forecast12 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$1.8K
24h Vol$0
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Manifold Markets
Who will win the 2026 FIFA Men’s World Cup?
10d
-0.9%14.6%
17.1%
+0.5%35.2%
+14 more outcomes
Community forecast59 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$14K
24h Vol$155.6
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Manifold Markets
Which Team will win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Closed
0.2%
5.3%
16.5%
+40 more outcomes
Community forecast172 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$101.8K
24h Vol$0
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Manifold Markets
2026 FIFA World Cup ⚽ | 🏆 Winner
11d
0%
-1.1%36.5%
+0.9%14.1%
+47 more outcomes
Community forecast698 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$820.3K
24h Vol$129.4K
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
### **Market Dates:**
- **Market Period:** From the publication date until July 19, 2026 at 7:00 PM UTC.
- **Market Close:** July 19, 2026 at 7:00 PM UTC, right before the World Cup Final kicks off.
- **Resolution Deadline:** The outcome will be determined once official results are published by the governing body of the tournament.
- ### **Resolution Criteria:**
- - This market resolves to the **national team that officially wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup**. - In case a team that is not represented by its own bracket wins, this market resolves to “Other” - The result will be based solely on official FIFA confirmation. - If the confirmed winner is later removed, stripped of the title, or disqualified after the market has already resolved, this will not affect the settled outcome.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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### **Market Dates:**
- **Market Period:** From the publication date until July 19, 2026 at 7:00 PM UTC.
- **Market Close:** July 19, 2026 at 7:00 PM UTC, right before the World Cup Final kicks off.
- **Resolution Deadline:** The outcome will be determined once official results are published by the governing body of the tournament.
- ### **Resolution Criteria:**
- - This market resolves to the **national team that officially wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup**. - In case a team that is not represented by its own bracket wins, this market resolves to “Other” - The result will be based solely on official FIFA confirmation. - If the confirmed winner is later removed, stripped of the title, or disqualified after the market has already resolved, this will not affect the settled outcome.