Will US rhenium apparent consumption exceed 35 thousand kg in the year ending December 2028?
CommoditiesOne-Off2yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 56.8%
Forecasters
2
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleApr 7, 26, 11:37 PM UTCMar 31, 29, 4:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will US rhenium apparent consumption exceed 25 thousand kg in the year ending December 2028?
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ForecastExRules
This market resolves YES if US rhenium apparent consumption exceeds 35 thousand kg in the year ending December 2028.
- What is being measured: USGS estimate of US apparent rhenium consumption for the calendar year ending December 2028 (published in USGS MCS ~February, settled March 31).
- YES if: USGS US apparent consumption >= 35 thousand kg for the year NO if: USGS US apparent consumption < 35 thousand kg for the year Resolution sources (priority order):
- USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries — rhenium section (usgs.gov/centers/national-minerals-information-center)
- USGS Minerals Yearbook — rhenium chapter
- US Census Bureau foreign trade data for HS 8112.41 and HS 2841.90
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will US rhenium apparent consumption exceed 35 thousand kg in the year ending December 2028??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 57% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will US rhenium apparent consumption exceed 35 thousand kg in the year ending December 2028? resolve?
- Will US rhenium apparent consumption exceed 35 thousand kg in the year ending December 2028? is scheduled to resolve on March 31, 2029.
- How is Will US rhenium apparent consumption exceed 35 thousand kg in the year ending December 2028? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market resolves YES if US rhenium apparent consumption exceeds 35 thousand kg in the year ending December 2028.