Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 69.5%
Forecasters
3
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleNov 15, 24, 8:51 AM UTCNov 22, 19, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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ForecastExRules
Resolves positively upon awarding of prize, negatively upon Alon's death.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Uri Alon ever receive a Nobel Prize??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 70% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Uri Alon ever receive a Nobel Prize? resolve?
- Will Uri Alon ever receive a Nobel Prize? is scheduled to resolve on November 22, 2119.
- How is Will Uri Alon ever receive a Nobel Prize? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves positively upon awarding of prize, negatively upon Alon's death.
