KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Cardi B 82.3%Leader of 15 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$50.5
Liquidity
$1.3K
Low liquiditySpread
8.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Sep 1, 26, 3:45 PM UTCSep 28, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiWill Conan O’Brien host the Academy Awards (Oscars) for a third consecutive year (2027)?
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Manifold MarketsZohran Mamdani SNL Host before end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
If the named outcome is a host at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ABCFox NewsVogueMSNBCBBCReutersVMACNNBillboardNBCthe Associated PressCBSThe New York TimesBloomberg News
- To fulfill the Payout Criterion, the specified person must actually appear and carry out the specified role at the event.
- Being listed in the official lineup without actually performing does not qualify.
- Joint performances where the person shares the role with another performer do count.
- The performance qualifies even if delayed, shortened, or modified in format.
- Pre-recorded content does not qualify unless explicitly designated by organizers as fulfilling the role.
Open markets
Entertainment
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.5pt70.6%
- 940 - 950m-17.0pt25.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $371.8K
- 24h Vol
- $113.9K
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+26.0pt67%
- Jack Barton-7.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt19%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-5.5pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.6pt9%
+21 more outcomes
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $93K
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $151.8K
- 24h Vol
- $52.7K
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer-1.0pt17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for 2026 MTV Video Music Awards: Host?
- Kalshi prices Cardi B at 82% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does 2026 MTV Video Music Awards: Host resolve?
- 2026 MTV Video Music Awards: Host is scheduled to resolve on September 28, 2026.
- How is 2026 MTV Video Music Awards: Host settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome is a host at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.