Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 53.4%
Forecasters
4
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 27 minutes ago
Feb 19, 26, 10:44 PM UTCMar 31, 29, 4:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will uranium spot price (15m trailing avg, 3m lag) exceed $115/lb by Mar 2031?
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PolymarketRules
This market resolves YES if the uranium spot price averaged over the last 15 months (excluding the last 3 months) exceeds $105 per pound U3O8 by 2029-03-31.
- Measurement methodology:
- Calculate average uranium spot price during the 15-month period ending 3 months before the settlement date
- For 2029-03-31 settlement: measure average price from 2028-10-02 to 2029-12-31
- Use daily spot price data from authoritative uranium market sources
- "Spot price" means uranium oxide (U3O8) spot price, not long-term contract prices
