Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 57.6%
Forecasters
4
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleFeb 19, 26, 10:45 PM UTCMar 31, 31, 4:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will uranium spot price (15m trailing avg, 3m lag) exceed $95/lb by Mar 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill uranium spot price (15m trailing avg, 3m lag) exceed $105/lb by Mar 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill uranium spot price (15m trailing avg, 3m lag) exceed $110/lb by Mar 2030?
Manifold MarketsUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by which date?
PolymarketIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
PolymarketIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by which date?
PolymarketRules
This market resolves YES if the uranium spot price averaged over the last 15 months (excluding the last 3 months) exceeds $115 per pound U3O8 by 2031-03-31.
- Measurement methodology:
- Calculate average uranium spot price during the 15-month period ending 3 months before the settlement date
- For 2031-03-31 settlement: measure average price from 2030-10-02 to 2031-12-31
- Use daily spot price data from authoritative uranium market sources
- "Spot price" means uranium oxide (U3O8) spot price, not long-term contract prices
Open markets
Commodities
KALSHIUS gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.175099%
- Above 4.160099%
- Above 4.170099%
+26 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $460.1K
- 24h Vol
- $459.9K
KALSHIFlorida gas prices tomorrow
- Above 3.910099%
- Above 3.895099%
- Above 3.900099%
+44 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $230.5K
- 24h Vol
- $230.4K
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
- ↓ $90100%
+22 more outcomes
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Oct 1, 2027-14.0pt40%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-15.0pt38%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-15.0pt32%
+7 more outcomes
KALSHIOhio gas prices tomorrow
- Above 3.900099%
- Above 3.895099%
- Above 3.890099%
+44 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $91.2K
- 24h Vol
- $91.2K
KALSHIUS gas prices this week
- Above 4.1400+25.0pt99%
- Above 4.1200+10.0pt99%
- Above 4.0800+5.0pt99%
+18 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Illinois gas prices tomorrow
- Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 9, 2026?
- Diesel prices tomorrow
- Brent crude oil price on September 09, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Texas gas prices tomorrow
- Crude Oil all time high by which date?
- Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 11, 2026?
- How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?
- Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 8, 2026
- How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Pennsylvania gas prices tomorrow
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will uranium spot price (15m trailing avg, 3m lag) exceed $115/lb by Mar 2031??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 58% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will uranium spot price (15m trailing avg, 3m lag) exceed $115/lb by Mar 2031? resolve?
- Will uranium spot price (15m trailing avg, 3m lag) exceed $115/lb by Mar 2031? is scheduled to resolve on March 31, 2031.
- How is Will uranium spot price (15m trailing avg, 3m lag) exceed $115/lb by Mar 2031? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market resolves YES if the uranium spot price averaged over the last 15 months (excluding the last 3 months) exceeds $115 per pound U3O8 by 2031-03-31.