Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 56.9%
Forecasters
1
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingApr 6, 26, 6:28 PM UTCMar 31, 28, 4:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will TOPCon technology share of global solar cell production exceed 90% for 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill TOPCon technology share of global solar cell production exceed 80% for 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill TOPCon technology share of global solar cell production exceed 80% for 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill TOPCon technology share of global solar cell production exceed 90% for 2028?
Manifold MarketsUS share of global GDP in 2026
KalshiWill Year-over-year US Industrial Production exceed -6.5 in December 2026?
ForecastExRules
This market resolves YES if TOPCon technology's share of global solar cell production (GW basis) for the full calendar year 2027 exceeds 70%, as reported by CPIA or InfoLink.
- YES if: TOPCon share >= 70% for 2027 NO if: TOPCon share < 70% for 2027
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- CPIA annual report — technology mix table
- InfoLink Consulting annual solar cell technology market share report
- BloombergNEF / Wood Mackenzie solar technology outlook
