Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 56.9%
Forecasters
1
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleApr 6, 26, 6:28 PM UTCMar 31, 28, 4:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will TOPCon technology share of global solar cell production exceed 90% for 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill TOPCon technology share of global solar cell production exceed 80% for 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill TOPCon technology share of global solar cell production exceed 90% for 2028?
Manifold MarketsUSD share of global FX reserves in Q2 2026
KalshiUS share of global GDP in 2026
KalshiWill Year-over-year US Industrial Production exceed -10.5% in December 2026?
ForecastExRules
This market resolves YES if TOPCon technology's share of global solar cell production (GW basis) for the full calendar year 2027 exceeds 70%, as reported by CPIA or InfoLink.
- YES if: TOPCon share >= 70% for 2027 NO if: TOPCon share < 70% for 2027
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- CPIA annual report — technology mix table
- InfoLink Consulting annual solar cell technology market share report
- BloombergNEF / Wood Mackenzie solar technology outlook
Open markets
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 17, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $74,750 or above99%
- $73,500 or above99%
- $74,500 or above99%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.6M
- 24h Vol
- $1.6M
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
- 180-199+18.0pt54.5%
- 200-219-5.0pt37.6%
- 220-239-7.2pt5.9%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 18, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $69,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $73,500 or above+18.0pt98%
- $73,000 or above+5.0pt98%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes91.6%
- No8.4%
- Total Vol
- $280.9K
- 24h Vol
- $279.4K
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 17, 2026?
- Minneapolis+67.0pt99%
- Miami+20.0pt99%
- Houston+45.0pt99%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $282.3K
KALSHINasdaq-100 price on Sep 17, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- 29,220 or above99%
- 28,810 or above98%
- 28,860 or above98%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $237.7K
- 24h Vol
- $236.7K
- BTC price on Sep 17, 2026 at 3pm EDT?
- ETH price on Sep 17, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 17, 2026?
- Trinbago Knight Riders vs Guyana Amazon Warriors
- Elon Musk # tweets September 15 - September 22, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 17, 2026?
- Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 17, 2026?
- Meta (META) Up or Down - Daily
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 17, 2026?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will TOPCon technology share of global solar cell production exceed 70% for 2027??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 57% as of September 17, 2026.
- When does Will TOPCon technology share of global solar cell production exceed 70% for 2027? resolve?
- Will TOPCon technology share of global solar cell production exceed 70% for 2027? is scheduled to resolve on March 31, 2028.
- How is Will TOPCon technology share of global solar cell production exceed 70% for 2027? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market resolves YES if TOPCon technology's share of global solar cell production (GW basis) for the full calendar year 2027 exceeds 70%, as reported by CPIA or InfoLink.