Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 93.6%
No 93.6%Forecasters
131
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
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Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingOct 13, 24, 9:55 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 1:29 PM UTC
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“My prediction is next year we’ll have over a thousand, maybe a few thousand, Optimus robots working at Tesla.”
- https://x.com/SmokeAwayyy/status/1801400924096839732
- [tweet]This was a prediction made during the Tesla 2024 Annual Stockholder Meeting.
- I take "working" to mean autonomously deployed in factories and performing productive labor.
- Update 2025-06-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified their interpretation of productive labor:
- Robots dancing as entertainers for the human factory workforce would be considered as performing productive labor.
