Will there be a serious "moon hoax" movement about the next moon landing within 5 years of it?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will there be a serious "moon hoax" movement about the next moon landing within 5 years of it??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 59.5% as of October 27, 2026.

When does Will there be a serious "moon hoax" movement about the next moon landing within 5 years of it? resolve?

Will there be a serious "moon hoax" movement about the next moon landing within 5 years of it? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2039.

How is Will there be a serious "moon hoax" movement about the next moon landing within 5 years of it? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: In other words, once the scientific consensus is that people have stepped on the moon once more, will there be a serious movement (of similar size to 911 truthers, qanon, flat earthers, reptillian conspiracy, etc) of people who believe that this landing was not a genuine moon landing?

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POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+7.8pt92.9%
• Anthropic-0.9pt7.1%
• Alibaba+0.1pt0%

+18 more outcomes

Total Vol

$3.8M

24h Vol

$160.8K

POLYMARKET

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

• No solution by Dec 31, 2027+8.5pt43%
• Yang-Mills+8.3pt19%
• Hodge Conjecture-18.5pt17%

+3 more outcomes

KALSHI

How many launches will SpaceX have in October?

• Above 898.5%
• Above 699.5%
• Above 799.5%

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of November?

• Google+6.5pt50.5%
• Anthropic-1.0pt45.5%
• OpenAI+0.1pt3%

+18 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?

• December 31,63%
• June 30,-5.0pt52%
• February 28,28%

+4 more outcomes

Total Vol

POLYMARKET

AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?

• 2027+1.0pt57%
• 2026+6.0pt20%

+1 more outcomes

Total Vol

$501.3K

24h Vol

$13.9K

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