Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 57%
Forecasters
44
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleSep 22, 23, 5:14 PM UTCJan 1, 64, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
When will "The Winds of Winter" (A song of Ice and Fire) by George R.R. Martin be published?
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KalshiRules
Resolves YES if George R. R. Martin publishes "The Winds of Winter" prehumously.
- NO if he passes away with it still unpublished
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will "The Winds of Winter" be published while George R. R. Martin is alive?
- Manifold Markets prices No at 57% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will "The Winds of Winter" be published while George R. R. Martin is alive resolve?
- Will "The Winds of Winter" be published while George R. R. Martin is alive is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2064.
- How is Will "The Winds of Winter" be published while George R. R. Martin is alive settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if George R. R. Martin publishes "The Winds of Winter" prehumously.