What are the current odds for Will the US Government implement "Universal Basic Compute" by 2030??

Manifold Markets prices No at 88.9% as of October 29, 2026.

Paper trade this

Will the US Government implement "Universal Basic Compute" by 2030?

RegulationOne-OffAI3y

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 88.9%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 51 minutes ago

Lagging

Feb 10, 25, 10:24 PM UTCJan 2, 30, 7:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

OpenAI CEO Sam Altman has repeatedly mentioned the idea of "Universal Basic Compute" or a "basic compute budget" which individuals can use, resell, or donate.

For one example, see the following article: OpenAI's Sam Altman has a new idea for a universal basic income
This question concerns the implementation of such a program by the US government.
Other markets may consider any country in the world, or private entities doing this.
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve YES if before January 1, 2030:

Report a data issue with this market

Will the US Government implement "Universal Basic Compute" by 2030?

Will the US Government implement "Universal Basic Compute" by 2030?

Open markets

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

Louisiana enacts data center moratorium by which date?

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

Which companies will official announce an IPO before 2028?

Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

Will the Clarity Act become law?

Frequently asked questions

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Open markets

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

Louisiana enacts data center moratorium by which date?

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

Which companies will official announce an IPO before 2028?

Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

Will the Clarity Act become law?