Will the UK set the National Living Wage at £13.20 an hour or more from April 2027?
One-OffBusiness & Corporate2dManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 55%
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4
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Oct 21, 26, 10:25 PM UTCOct 28, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
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KalshiRules
Resolves YES if the hourly National Living Wage rate for April 2027 that the UK government announces is £13.20 or more, and NO if it is £13.19 or less.
- If the age threshold changes, the rate for the oldest age band governs.
- If more than one rate is set for 2027-28, the rate in force on 1 April 2027 governs.
- The market resolves on the first rate the government announces, on gov.uk or in the Budget documents, whether before, on or after Budget day.
- If no rate is announced by 31 December 2026, resolves N/A. The rate from April 2026 is £12.71.
- The Low Pay Commission's spring 2026 estimate of the rate that would keep the NLW at two-thirds of median earnings was £13.18, within a range of £13.02 to £13.34.