This market resolved: Yes (50%)
Resolved: Oct 24, 2026, 10:56 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Yes
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 23, 2026, 11:42 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes50%
No50%
Won
Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
The outcome is “YES” if the official closing value of the S&P 500 index on Friday, October 23, 2026, is strictly lower than its official closing value on Friday, October 16, 2026 (source: S&P Dow Jones Indices, or Google Finance / Yahoo Finance ^GSPC).
- Otherwise, the outcome is “NO.” The outcome is “N/A” if U.S. markets are closed on October 23.
- The market closes prior to the close of U.S. markets on October 23, 2026.