What are the current odds for Will the S&P 500 be greater than or equal to X at the end of October 2026??

Manifold Markets prices S&P500 ≥ 7300 at 90.7% as of October 1, 2026.

Will the S&P 500 be greater than or equal to X at the end of October 2026?

3.8 pts (24h)EquitiesOne-Off29d

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

S&P500 ≥ 7300 90.7%+3.8pt

Leader of 9 outcomes

Forecasters

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

7d Change

+40.7 pts

Market data

Updated 9 minutes ago

Sep 30, 26, 4:44 PM UTCOct 30, 26, 11:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

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Rules

Will the closing value of the S&P 500 be greater than or equal to the amount listed in each market on October 30th 2026?

I will use https://finance.yahoo.com/ as the official record to resolve the market.
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Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will the S&P 500 be greater than or equal to X at the end of October 2026??: Manifold Markets prices S&P500 ≥ 7300 at 90.7% as of October 1, 2026.
When does Will the S&P 500 be greater than or equal to X at the end of October 2026? resolve?: Will the S&P 500 be greater than or equal to X at the end of October 2026? is scheduled to resolve on October 30, 2026.
How is Will the S&P 500 be greater than or equal to X at the end of October 2026? settled?: Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Will the closing value of the S&P 500 be greater than or equal to the amount listed in each market on October 30th 2026?

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Will the S&P 500 be greater than or equal to X at the end of October 2026?

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