What are the current odds for Will the Burj Khalifa will be the world's tallest building in 2030??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 71.3% as of October 29, 2026.

Will the Burj Khalifa will be the world's tallest building in 2030?

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

Data quality warningStale data

Data as of Oct 29, 2026, 1:06 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4

Current community forecast

Yes 71.3%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated yesterday

Stale

Apr 9, 23, 2:58 AM UTCJan 1, 30, 4:00 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

According to the Wikipedia page

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_tallest_buildings
Resolves on January 1st (ie if another building overtakes it later in 2030 this doesn't count)