Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 94%
Forecasters
9
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleOct 31, 25, 5:12 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiWhat will NYC subway average weekday ridership be in October 2026?
KalshiWill the Kennedy Center be demolished in 2026?
KalshiRules
The 11foot8+8 is a bridge in North Carolina that is infamous for damaging trucks that pass under without noticing the signs about the low height.
- It was raised from 11'8" another 8" in 2019, but it still catches some vehicles.
- It claimed at least 3 in 2025
- Link: https://11foot8.com/
- Link: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Norfolk_Southern%E2%80%93Gregson_Street_Overpass
- (https://www.youtube.com/embed/-CmDZ-oEtB0)
Open markets
Society & CultureKALSHIWhat will NYC subway average weekday ridership be in October 2026?
- Above 4.1 million94%
- Above 4.2 million91%
- Above 4.3 million-2.0pt59%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $46K
- 24h Vol
- $3.6K
KALSHIWill the Kennedy Center be demolished in 2026?
- No93%
- Yes-3.0pt7%
- Total Vol
- $10.8K
- 24h Vol
- $2.2K
KALSHIMaine lobster landings in 2026
- Above 55 million pounds94%
- Above 65 million pounds84%
- Above 70 million pounds66%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $18.4K
- 24h Vol
- $588.5
POLYMARKETWill Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- No-1.5pt74%
- Yes+1.5pt26%
- Total Vol
- $25.1K
- 24h Vol
- $422.1
KALSHIUS test scores in Math in 2026?
- Significant decrease+21.0pt62.6%
- No significant difference-5.0pt29.9%
- Significant increase-11.0pt7.5%
- Total Vol
- $58.7K
KALSHINew River Gorge recreation visits in 2026
- Above 1.7 million96%
- Above 1.8 million92%
- Above 1.9 million+1.0pt90%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $32K
- 24h Vol
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the 11foot8+8 bridge claim three or more victims in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 94% as of September 20, 2026.
- When does Will the 11foot8+8 bridge claim three or more victims in 2026? resolve?
- Will the 11foot8+8 bridge claim three or more victims in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will the 11foot8+8 bridge claim three or more victims in 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: The 11foot8+8 is a bridge in North Carolina that is infamous for damaging trucks that pass under without noticing the signs about the low height.