Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 61.1%
Forecasters
5
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleFeb 1, 26, 6:02 PM UTCDec 2, 28, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which party will win the 2028 presidential election in Rhode Island?
Manifold MarketsRhode Island Senate Election Winner
PolymarketRhode Island average residential electricity price in 2026
KalshiRhode Island vs North Carolina A&T
KalshiRhode Island's 2nd District margin of victory
KalshiRhode Island Senate Election: Turnout
PolymarketRules
The westbound side of the Washington Bridge that carriers I-195 over the Seekonk River in Rhode Island was abruptly closed in December 2023.
- As of February 1st 2026, the old bridge has been demolished and a contract has been awarded to build the new bridge by November 2028.
- This market will resolve "Yes" if the new Washington Bridge is open to traffic at 9am on December 1st, 2028, and "No" otherwise.
Open markets
Society & CultureKALSHIWhat will NYC subway average weekday ridership be in October 2026?
- Above 4.1 million94%
- Above 4.2 million91%
- Above 4.3 million-2.0pt59%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $46K
- 24h Vol
- $3.6K
KALSHIWill the Kennedy Center be demolished in 2026?
- No93%
- Yes-3.0pt7%
- Total Vol
- $10.8K
- 24h Vol
- $2.2K
KALSHIMaine lobster landings in 2026
- Above 55 million pounds94%
- Above 65 million pounds84%
- Above 70 million pounds66%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $18.4K
- 24h Vol
- $588.5
POLYMARKETWill Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- No-1.5pt74%
- Yes+1.5pt26%
- Total Vol
- $25.1K
- 24h Vol
- $422.1
KALSHIUS test scores in Math in 2026?
- Significant decrease+21.0pt62.6%
- No significant difference-5.0pt29.9%
- Significant increase-11.0pt7.5%
- Total Vol
- $58.7K
KALSHINew River Gorge recreation visits in 2026
- Above 1.7 million96%
- Above 1.8 million92%
- Above 1.9 million+1.0pt90%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $32K
- 24h Vol
- Will UCLA out-of-state tuition exceed $55,000 in 2026?
- Will Harvard University rank first overall in 2027?
- Will Glacier National Park set a visitation record in 2026?
- 60 minutes: Joe Rogan joins as a Correspondent this year?
- Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
- Which colleges will see their ranking drop this year?
- Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026?
- Will UCLA out-of-state tuition exceed $53,000 in 2026?
- US test scores in Reading in 2026?
- What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?
- Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the new Washington Bridge in Rhode Island be completed on time??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 61% as of September 20, 2026.
- When does Will the new Washington Bridge in Rhode Island be completed on time? resolve?
- Will the new Washington Bridge in Rhode Island be completed on time? is scheduled to resolve on December 2, 2028.
- How is Will the new Washington Bridge in Rhode Island be completed on time? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: The westbound side of the Washington Bridge that carriers I-195 over the Seekonk River in Rhode Island was abruptly closed in December 2023.