Will SpaceX land anything on Mars by 2030?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will SpaceX land anything on Mars by 2030??

Manifold Markets prices No at 81.9% as of October 30, 2026.

When does Will SpaceX land anything on Mars by 2030? resolve?

Will SpaceX land anything on Mars by 2030? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2030.

How is Will SpaceX land anything on Mars by 2030? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: From https://www.metaculus.com/questions/737/will-spacex-land-anything-on-mars-by-2030/

Where else is Will SpaceX land anything on Mars by 2030? listed?

The same question is also listed on Kalshi.

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KALSHI

BTC price on Oct 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

• $70,000 or above99%
• $69,500 or above+2.0pt99%
• $71,000 or above-1.0pt98.5%

+47 more outcomes

Total Vol

$4.4M

24h Vol

$2.7M

POLYMARKET

Elon Musk # tweets October 23 - October 30, 2026?

• 340-359+37.0pt70.7%
• 360-379+18.0pt27.3%
• 380-399+0.1pt2%

+27 more outcomes

KALSHI

Bitcoin price at the end of 2026

• 75,000 to 79,999.99-0.2pt15.8%
• 80,000 to 84,999.99-1.5pt14.6%
• 70,000 to 74,999.99+3.0pt

POLYMARKET

Elon Musk # tweets October 27 - November 3, 2026?

• 340-359+8.3pt24.5%
• 320-339-3.2pt17.6%
• 360-379+7.7pt16.7%

+27 more outcomes

KALSHI

What will Amazon say during their next earnings call?

• Gen AI / Generative AI+5.0pt99.5%
• Continuum+26.0pt96%
• Tariff+7.0pt

KALSHI

ETH price on Oct 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

• $2,040 or above-1.0pt97.5%
• $2,080 or above+2.0pt97.5%
• $1,920 or above99%

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• Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
• How many launches will SpaceX have in October?
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