Current community forecast
No 89.5%
Forecasters
50
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleSep 15, 24, 12:29 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 12:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
Space tourism is rapidly advancing, but whether it will be mainstream by 2027 is uncertain.
- Proponents argue that technological advancements, commercial launch plans, and infrastructure development like space hotels will make it accessible.
- However, critics point out the high costs, safety and regulatory challenges, and limited capacity, suggesting it will remain exclusive.
- Resolution Criteria:This will resolve YES if:
- By the end of 2027, space tourism flights are commercially available and can be booked by the general public, similar to traditional airline flights, regardless of cost.
- This will resolve NO if:
