Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 70.1%
Forecasters
5
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleMay 16, 26, 6:31 AM UTCMay 16, 28, 6:26 AM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsTop Artist on Spotify U.S. 2026
KalshiGodzilla Minus Zero · Rotten Tomatoes score
KalshiRules
Resolves YES if Act 4 is released to a publicly playable branch before any new alternate acts are released to a publicly playable branch.
- Renaming or reworking a current act doesn't count as a new alternate act.
- Resolves to 50% if they released at the same time in the same patch.