Will relatively "offline" societies show signs of out-competing "online" societies by the end of 2027?
TechOne-OffHealth & MedicineAdoptionSociety & Culture1yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 58.4%
Forecasters
46
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleDec 27, 22, 6:26 PM UTCJan 1, 28, 5:59 AM UTC
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Manifold MarketsRules
Prediction #6 in my "Great Logging Off" market
- Meta-market: https://manifold.markets/LarsDoucet/how-many-of-my-predictions-in-marke-089c96830000?groupId=KgzUh68PEIltJSzCnmF2
- Blog post: https://www.fortressofdoors.com/ai-markets-for-lemons-and-the-great-logging-off
- This resolves YES, if, by the end of 2027, in my sole opinion:
- Societies that, compared to overall average American society at large, prioritize family, community, regular face-to-face human interaction, strong social support networks, and especially those that have a built-in system for helping young people find spouses and which support them in raising families, are generally doing better than those that don't.
- I'll look to various metrics that judge the following:
