Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes (97.1%)
Resolved: Oct 15, 2026, 7:16 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Yes
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 15, 2026, 8:12 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes97.1%
No2.9000000000000057%
Won
Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will PMEX Markets be approved as a DCM by the CFTC?
Manifold MarketsWill the Supreme Court rule on PredictIt vs. CFTC before 2026?
Manifold MarketsLimitless Markets US approved as a DCM by the CFTC in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill CFTC regulate cryptocurrency spot markets by the end of 2026?
FutuurWill the CFTC ban derivative bets on US elections by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
