What are the current odds for Will Open AI ‘collapse’ in the next two years??

Manifold Markets prices No at 99% as of August 1, 2026.

When does Will Open AI ‘collapse’ in the next two years? resolve?

Will Open AI ‘collapse’ in the next two years? is scheduled to resolve on August 1, 2026.

Will Open AI ‘collapse’ in the next two years?

One-OffAI Business & Corporate

Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: No (99%)

Resolved: Aug 11, 2026, 5:52 AM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current community forecast

No 99%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 20 days ago

Stale

Jul 29, 24, 4:32 PMAug 1, 26, 3:59 AM

Probability Timeline

Yes1%

No99%

99%

Yes

Rules

Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.

Will Open AI ‘collapse’ in the next two years?

One-OffAI Business & Corporate

Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: No (99%)

Resolved: Aug 11, 2026, 5:52 AM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current community forecast

No 99%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 20 days ago

Stale

Jul 29, 24, 4:32 PMAug 1, 26, 3:59 AM

Probability Timeline

Yes1%

No99%

99%

Yes

Rules

Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Open AI ‘collapse’ in the next two years??: Manifold Markets prices No at 99% as of August 1, 2026.
When does Will Open AI ‘collapse’ in the next two years? resolve?: Will Open AI ‘collapse’ in the next two years? is scheduled to resolve on August 1, 2026.

Will Open AI ‘collapse’ in the next two years?

Will Open AI ‘collapse’ in the next two years?

Frequently asked questions

Open markets

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

BTC price on August 21

Anthropic IPO by __?

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

Best Chinese AI Company end of August?

Best AI at the end of 2026?