Current community forecast
No 62.9%
Forecasters
34
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 35 minutes ago
May 27, 23, 8:49 PM UTCMay 2, 34, 6:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
On May 1 2034 I will identify the top LLM assistant from OpenAI available for <100$ a month and run the following question five independent times and average the results.
- If the average estimate from the five outlets is over 40% the claim resolves true.
- If openAI has no suitable model I'll find the best similar model.
- I'll do this from the US as a US citizen.
- Here is the prompt
- Please reply with JSON following the template, for each type of media: New York Times, the New Yorker, the Economist, the Guardian UK, China's People's Daily.
